Seasonal prediction of Danube flow variability based on stable teleconnection with sea surface temperature


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lohmann [ at ] awi-bremerhaven.de

Abstract

It is shown that spring Danube flow anomalies are significantly related to winter SST anomalies from several key regions. These areas are identified through stable teleconnections between flow and SST. A forecast scheme is developed and applied to predict flow anomalies using SST anomalies from these key regions. Small potential predictability of winter flow anomalies from autumn sea surface temperature anomalies was also detected. The predictability of the flow anomalies from summer and autumn using SST from the previous seasons is limited by the instability of teleconnections. Copyright 2005 by the American Geophysical Union.



Item Type
Article (Invited talk)
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Published
Event Details
Invited lecture, European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2006, 02-07 April 2006, Vienna, Austria..
Eprint ID
14979
DOI https://www.doi.org/10.1029/2005gl024241

Cite as
Rimbu, N. , Dima, M. , Lohmann, G. and Musat, I. (2006): Seasonal prediction of Danube flow variability based on stable teleconnection with sea surface temperature , Geophysical Research Letters, 32 (21), pp. 1-5 . doi: https://www.doi.org/10.1029/2005gl024241


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