On Earth, the thawing of permafrost deposits with high-ground ice content results in massive surface subsidence and the formation of characteristic large thermokarst depressions. Slope asymmetries within thermokarst depressions suggest lateral growth, which occurs due to thermoerosion and gravimetric mass wasting along these slopes. It has been proposed that rimless, asymmetrically shaped depressions (called scalloped depressions) on Mars were formed by insolation-driven ground ice sublimation. We investigated a large thermokarst depression in ice complex deposits in the Siberian Arctic as a terrestrial analogue for scalloped depressions in Martian volatile-rich mantle deposits. Our results from field studies, insolation modeling, and geomorphometric analyses suggest lateral thermokarst development in a northern direction. This conclusion is obvious due to steeper slope angles of the south facing slopes. Insolation and surface temperatures are crucial factors directly influencing thermokarst slope stability and steepness. Comparative analyses of Martian scalloped depressions in Utopia Planitia were conducted using high-resolution (High-Resolution Imaging Science Experiment, Context Camera) and thermal infrared (Thermal Emission Imaging System) satellite data. By direct analogy, we propose that the lateral scalloped depression development on Mars was primarily forced on the steep pole-facing slopes in the equator-ward direction. Insolation modeling confirms that this must have happened in the last 10 Ma during an orbital configuration of higher obliquity than today. Development would have been maximized if the orbit was both highly oblique and highly eccentric, and/or the Martian summer coincided with perihelion. Relatively short events of increasing sublimation or even thawing of ground ice led to fast slumping processes on the steep pole-facing slopes. Copyright © 2010 by the American Geophysical Union.